Prediction Markets x402 offerings

Market Intel & Signals ($0.02/call): Deep snapshot and execution microstructure for one Polymarket market: implied probability, best bid/ask/spread, 24h volume, liquidity depth, days to resolution, momentum, and estimated slippage to buy at $100 and $1000 order sizes from the live order book. Pass a slug, or omit it for the highest-volume open market right now. Signals are factual market data, not investment advice.

Compare Partition verified actions by a caller-supplied owner allowlist. against a bounded caller-supplied previous snapshot and return exact change witnesses. Baseline is caller supplied and is never authenticated as historical server output. Pure bounded timing/source-quote validation runs before payment. Exactly one current motor call, zero baseline provider calls. Full current provider disclosure retained; baseline is not submitted to the provider.

Business Frameworks · business-frameworks/market/decide/shock@1.5 — the decision rule for transferring a shock to a seat: an analog carries only when its buyer tiers match today's, otherwise the shock type's prior sets the verdict steps and the lag, as inputs, rule, action and check. Call when a forecast's bad case has to carry a named shock with a magnitude and a lag; returns 298 tokens of original synthesis (terse 228); to run it on your own figures, POST /apply/market/decide/shock.

Business Frameworks · business-frameworks/market/decide/verdict@1.2, applied — POST whether the node is short inside the horizon, lead time and horizon, whether suppliers are building, documented relief and how the price is set; get the node's verdict — binding, transient, pass-through or open — and the fact that decided it. Deterministic (the node's rule, no model): figures, verdict, action and check with the 234-token node text — schema free at GET /apply/market/decide/verdict.

Business Frameworks · business-frameworks/market/why@1.5 — why the constraint is read before the price: a node's position is what is committed, how far lead times have stretched and whether it is on allocation; a price only checks that read. Four rules follow. Call before any market scale band or decision; returns 372 tokens of original synthesis (terse variant 147) with related handles; free layer at /catalogue.

Delivers sanitized Polymarket CLOB implied probabilities, bid-ask spreads, and 24-hour smart-money volume movers across crypto, macro, and geopolitics.

Live prediction market odds from Polymarket: search any topic or get the most-traded markets. Returns each outcome's implied probability, 24h and total volume, liquidity, end date and link.

Prediction market search for AI agents - one query, live markets from Polymarket AND Kalshi ranked by relevance: question, implied probability (YES price), 24h/7d change, bid/ask, volume, liquidity, close date, URL, and the ids you need for /pm/history. Election odds, Fed/rates, crypto price targets, sports, geopolitics, pop culture. ?q=<question or topic>&limit=<1-50>. Want a finished answer with a cross-platform read? /pm/odds $0.02.

Prediction market movers - the biggest probability swings in the last 24h or 7d across liquid Polymarket markets (liquidity >= $5k, 24h volume >= $1k), up and down, with current probability, move in points, volume, and URL. Breaking-news detection, event monitoring, what changed today. ?window=24h|7d&limit=<1-50>.

What do the prediction markets say? Pass a question, get a finished read an agent can use directly: the best-matching market on Polymarket and on Kalshi with implied probability and 24h/7d moves, the cross-platform gap in points, a 7-day price history, a one-sentence summary, plus the top matching markets. Forecasting, research grounding, news context, event risk. ?q=<question>. Raw list only: /pm/search $0.01.

Open prediction markets mentioning a US stock ticker or company, Polymarket + Kalshi in one call, for trading agents (Coinbase for Agents / x402 market data). $CASHTAG or company name in, implied probability, 24h change, volume, close date and url out. Facts only - not a buy/sell/hold signal. ?q=TSLA or ?q=Tesla&limit=1-50.

Prediction market movers - the biggest probability swings in the last 24h or 7d across liquid Polymarket markets (liquidity >= $5k, 24h volume >= $1k), up and down, with current probability, move in points, volume, and URL. Breaking-news detection, event monitoring, what changed today. ?window=24h|7d&limit=<1-50>.

What do the prediction markets say? Pass a question, get a finished read an agent can use directly: the best-matching market on Polymarket and on Kalshi with implied probability and 24h/7d moves, the cross-platform gap in points, a 7-day price history, a one-sentence summary, plus the top matching markets. Forecasting, research grounding, news context, event risk. ?q=<question>. Raw list only: /pm/search $0.01.

Prediction market price history - one market's implied-probability series over 1d, 1w, 1m or max, with first/last/high/low/change, for a Polymarket market (condition id, slug or numeric id) or a Kalshi market (ticker). Ids come from /pm/search. Backtesting, charting, trend confirmation. ?id=<market id>&interval=1d|1w|1m|max.

Open prediction markets mentioning a US stock ticker or company, Polymarket + Kalshi in one call, for trading agents (Coinbase for Agents / x402 market data). $CASHTAG or company name in, implied probability, 24h change, volume, close date and url out. Facts only - not a buy/sell/hold signal. ?q=TSLA or ?q=Tesla&limit=1-50.

Prediction market search for AI agents - one query, live markets from Polymarket AND Kalshi ranked by relevance: question, implied probability (YES price), 24h/7d change, bid/ask, volume, liquidity, close date, URL, and the ids you need for /pm/history. Election odds, Fed/rates, crypto price targets, sports, geopolitics, pop culture. ?q=<question or topic>&limit=<1-50>. Want a finished answer with a cross-platform read? /pm/odds $0.02.

x402 market report (PDF) — paid per download

Olas-style yes/no forecast: { question } in, { p_yes, p_no, confidence, info_utility } out with reasoning and sources. BTC/ETH/SOL price questions with a threshold and a date are modelled from the Taifoon venue tape (sources replayable); any other question is a small open model's prior with no web search (no sources, confidence at most 0.3). Checked before you are charged. 0.01 USDC a forecast.

Cash cost to buy a target share count at price. Call when pre-trade cash check for prediction-market size targets. Returns total cost as deterministic JSON for $0.001 USDC via x402 on Base. First-party local math only—no RPC, live market feed, API keys, storage, or mediagen. Advisory only; the caller owns capital, risk, and production controls.

Cross-venue Polymarket+Kalshi arbitrage: resolution mismatch, void risk & settlement divergence.

Returns a go/no-go allowed flag with market_state, cooldown status, and warnings for one symbol — call it before /kronos/decision to skip a costlier decision call during blocked conditions.

Returns a verdict, realized pnl_pct, and direction_correct flag for any prior decision_id — the accountability check that closes the loop on a /kronos/decision call.

Real-money implied probabilities for macro and sports events from Hyperliquid HIP-4 outcome markets. Answers "what odds does the market put on a Fed rate cut this month", "who is favored to win the World Cup", "what is the implied probability of this event". Every live question with its outcomes and Yes-side implied probability, straight from on-chain order mids — money-backed odds, not polls and not a model. Deterministic, no LLM.

Live board totals and the signed public root, free: the axis totals and Merkle root, served through a real x402 settle. It reads nothing new: the totals are the board's own and the root is the published one. States: each axis MEASURED or UNMEASURED exactly as the board states it. Verification is free forever; the same bytes answer 200 at /api/gspc and /root.json.