LoneStarOracle
GFS+ECMWF ensemble temperature probability for NWS weather prediction markets
Offering
- Provider
- weather.lonestaroracle.xyz
- Method
- GET
- Offering type
- Api Endpoint
- Transport type
- http
- Category
- Financial Analysis
- Delivery
- Not provided
- Pricing model
- Not provided
- x402 version
- 2
Endpoint context
- URL
https://weather.lonestaroracle.xyz/forecast- MIME type
- application/json
- First seen
- 2026-10-16T01:50:04.338Z
- Last seen
- Tags
- weather, forecast, prediction-market, kalshi, probability, X402, financial-data, real-economy, lonestaroracle, Macro, equities, Crypto, compliance, Risk, Data
Payment pricing
x402 payment terms are the authoritative price for calling this endpoint.
- Payment option 1
- 0.02 USDC
Atomic price: 20000 · Network: eip155:8453 · Asset: USDC · Scheme: exact - Payment option 2
- 0.02 USDC
Atomic price: 20000 · Network: solana:5eykt4UsFv8P8NJdTREpY1vzqKqZKvdp · Asset: USDC · Scheme: exact - Payment option 3
- 20000 atomic units
Atomic price: 20000 · Network: eip155:5042 · Asset: 0x3600000000000000000000000000000000000000 · Scheme: exact
Raw x402 terms
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]Observed health
- Status
- Healthy
- Latest latency
- 35 ms
- Average latency
- 37 ms
- HTTP status
- 402
- Last checked
- Reachability
- 100% over 13 checks
Latency is measured to the first response headers. A reachable result does not verify response accuracy or merchant identity.
Input schema
{
"type": "object",
"required": [
"type",
"method"
],
"properties": {
"type": {
"type": "string",
"const": "http"
},
"method": {
"type": "string",
"enum": [
"GET",
"HEAD",
"DELETE"
]
},
"queryParams": {
"type": "object",
"properties": {
"city": {
"type": "string",
"title": "City"
},
"date": {
"type": "string",
"title": "Date"
},
"threshold": {
"type": "number",
"title": "Threshold"
},
"direction": {
"type": "string",
"default": "greater",
"title": "Direction"
}
}
}
}
}Output schema
{
"category": "weather",
"description": "7-model consensus + 80 ensemble members (GEFS 30 + ECMWF 50). Returns blended prob_exceeds (empirical + Gumbel), trade signal (YES/NO/PASS), ensemble_empirical_prob, method_divergence (forces PASS if >0.15), and outlier model. Coordinates aligned to NWS ASOS settlement stations used by Kalshi and Polymarket.",
"name": "LoneStarOracle — WeatherOracle",
"properties": {
"input": {
"properties": {
"method": {
"enum": [
"GET",
"HEAD",
"DELETE"
],
"type": "string"
},
"queryParams": {
"properties": {
"city": {
"title": "City",
"type": "string"
},
"date": {
"title": "Date",
"type": "string"
},
"direction": {
"default": "greater",
"title": "Direction",
"type": "string"
},
"threshold": {
"title": "Threshold",
"type": "number"
}
},
"type": "object"
},
"type": {
"const": "http",
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"type",
"method"
],
"type": "object"
},
"output": {
"properties": {
"example": {
"city": "Chicago",
"confidence": "medium",
"data_source": "7-model consensus via Open-Meteo: GFS, ECMWF, ICON, GEM, HRRR, NAM, NBM (all free)",
"days_out": 5,
"direction": "greater",
"ensemble_members": 31,
"mean_high_f": 71.4,
"prob_exceeds": 0.312,
"rain_probability": 0.18,
"std_high_f": 3.2,
"summary": "Chicago on 2026-04-26: P(high > 73°F) = 31.2% | Mean 71.4°F ± 3.2°F | Confidence: medium",
"target_date": "2026-04-26",
"threshold_f": 73
},
"type": {
"type": "string"
}
},
"required": [
"type"
],
"type": "object"
}
},
"required": [
"input"
],
"tags": [
"weather",
"forecast",
"prediction-market",
"kalshi",
"probability",
"gfs"
],
"type": "object",
"version": "1.0.0"
}